How pivotal is KwaZulu-Natal to overall election results?
Despite the province not being the biggest in terms of registered voters, all eyes will be on KwaZulu-Natal in next week’s election.
All eyes will be on KwaZulu-Natal in next week’s South African general elections.
This despite the province not even being the biggest in the country in terms of registered voters with 5 738 272 out of the record 27 723 820 overall number (20.7%).
FIVE MAJOR PARTIES VYING FOR VOTES
The battle for supremacy in the province is expected to be fierce with no fewer than five major parties fighting for seats – realistically more than any of Mzansi’s other eight provinces.
The ANC picked up 54.22% of the votes in the most recent elections in 2019.
However, that was considerably down on its 64.52% in 2014 and 62.95% from 2009.
Throw in the fact that this year’s elections will see the Jacob Zuma-led MK party contest for the first time, as well as the always confident Economic Freedom Fighter (EFF) and a resurgent Democratic Alliance (DA) under Chris Pappas in the province.
The Inkatha Freedom Party (IFP) also cannot be discounted.
In recent polls are to be believed, the MK party can expect somewhere around 8.4% of the total vote, the vast majority of which is expected to come in KwaZulu-Natal from Zulu-speaking followers of Zuma.
While the overall number of registered voters has climbed by just over one million from 2019, the number in KwaZulu-Natal has risen by 213 606.
HOW KWAZULU-NATAL VOTED IN 2019
Registered voters | 5 524 666 |
Votes cast | 3 654 701 |
Total valid votes | 3 598 281 |
Spoilt votes | 56 420 |
Voter turnout | 66.15% |
Party | Votes | % | Seats |
ANC | 1 951 027 | 54.22 | 44 |
IFP | 588 046 | 16.34 | 13 |
DA | 500 051 | 13.90 | 11 |
EFF | 349 361 | 9.71 | 8 |
NFP | 56 587 | 1.57 | 1 |
MF | 18 864 | 0.52 | 1 |
ATM | 17 729 | 0.49 | 1 |
ACDP | 17 214 | 0.48 | 1 |
Only those parties with one seat or more included
HOW DO YOU FORESEE THE KWAZULU-NATAL VOTE GOING?
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